THE REFS BET
The refs bet. We keep score.

The Whistle

Trades whose timing was statistically unusual for that security — and which also sat against committee work the member was part of, a vote they cast, or a shutdown or lame-duck window.

What "unusual" means here, exactly. For each trade we ask a testable question: if this member had traded this same security on a random day instead, how often would they have done at least this well against the market over the next 90 trading days? Two hundred random dates are drawn from that security's own price history. The p-value is the share of them that did as well or better. A p-value of 0.02 means only 2% of random timings in that stock beat this one.

What it does not mean. It is not a probability of guilt, or of innocence. It does not measure intent, knowledge, or wrongdoing. Someone has to be in the top few percent — across tens of thousands of trades, unusual things happen constantly by chance alone. That is precisely why an unusual p-value on its own is not flagged here: a Whistle also requires a documented connection, and a size floor of $15,000 so token amounts do not generate noise.

Across 29,227 trades tested, 2,361 (8.1%) were unusual at the 0.05 level. Chance alone produces about 5%. The gap between those two numbers is the whole finding — and it is modest.

The published rules

RuleWhat it requiresFlags
huddle_timing Unusually timed trade inside a committee window, p ≤ 0.05, at least $15,000 75
window_timing Unusually timed trade during a shutdown or lame-duck window, p ≤ 0.05, at least $15,000 48

Every threshold is fixed and published — nothing here is tuned per member or per trade. The full definitions are on Methodology.

Reset

75 flagged trades.

p-valueTrade dateMemberTickerAction Amount (as filed)Excess vs marketRuleRecords
0.000 2023-01-04 Josh Gottheimer D-NJ MSFT
Software & IT Services
buy $500,001 – $1,000,000 +27.4% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2023-01-04 Josh Gottheimer D-NJ MSFT
Software & IT Services
buy $500,001 – $1,000,000 +27.4% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2023-01-04 Josh Gottheimer D-NJ MSFT
Software & IT Services
buy $250,001 – $500,000 +27.4% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2021-02-17 Peter Meijer R-MI TSM
Semiconductors
sell $50,001 – $100,000 +23.3% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-02-25 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $50,001 – $100,000 +17.6% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-02-27 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $50,001 – $100,000 +26.9% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-03 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $50,001 – $100,000 +30.0% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-02-25 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $50,001 – $100,000 +17.6% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-10 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $50,001 – $100,000 +36.0% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-20 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $50,001 – $100,000 +25.9% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-25 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $50,001 – $100,000 +20.0% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-27 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $50,001 – $100,000 +20.5% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2020-04-14 David Perdue R-GA WFC
Banking
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +39.1% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2020-04-14 David Perdue R-GA JPM
Banking
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +16.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2020-04-14 David Perdue R-GA JPM
Banking
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +16.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2020-04-14 David Perdue R-GA JPM
Banking
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +16.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2020-04-14 David Perdue R-GA JPM
Banking
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +16.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2019-04-01 Bill Flores R-TX AM
Utilities
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +46.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2020-04-14 David Perdue R-GA WFC
Banking
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +39.1% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2024-03-21 Tommy Tuberville R-AL HUMA
Pharmaceuticals & Biotech
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +157.0% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2026-01-23 Thomas H. Kean, Jr. R-NJ SYK
Medical Devices
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +26.4% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-05-08 Jefferson Shreve R-IN UPS
Transportation
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +27.1% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-04-17 Jefferson Shreve R-IN UPS
Transportation
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +28.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-02-26 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +24.0% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2019-12-04 Kevin Hern R-OK SLB
Oil & Gas
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +48.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-10-29 Shelley Moore Capito R-WV MSFT
Software & IT Services
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +23.6% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-02-28 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +28.7% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-05 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +21.3% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-09-04 Sheldon Whitehouse D-RI MSFT
Software & IT Services
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +14.7% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-11 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +26.7% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-02-26 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +24.0% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-04-09 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +20.4% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-04-07 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +22.0% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-04-03 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +29.5% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-13 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +32.0% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-24 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +19.4% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-04-02 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +23.3% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.000 2025-03-31 David McCormick R-PA BITB
Capital Markets
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +26.9% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.005 2025-08-07 Tim Moore R-NC CNC
Insurance
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +52.2% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.005 2022-11-30 Dan Sullivan R-AK RPM
Chemicals
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +21.1% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.010 2021-02-16 Peter Meijer R-MI AVGO
Semiconductors
sell $50,001 – $100,000 +11.5% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 100 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.010 2022-11-30 Dan Sullivan R-AK RPM
Chemicals
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +21.1% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 100 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.010 2023-04-28 John W. Hickenlooper D-CO DIS
Media & Entertainment
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +28.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 100 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.010 2025-04-15 Tommy Tuberville R-AL LLY
Pharmaceuticals & Biotech
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +27.6% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 100 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.015 2024-08-28 John W. Hickenlooper D-CO BATRK
Media & Entertainment
sell $250,001 – $500,000 +21.9% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.015 2025-05-09 John W. Hickenlooper D-CO LBRDK
Telecommunications
sell $250,001 – $500,000 +48.4% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.015 2025-05-12 Jefferson Shreve R-IN UNP
Transportation
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +17.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.015 2025-03-27 Greg Landsman D-OH PG
Chemicals
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +20.1% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.015 2025-04-15 Tommy Tuberville R-AL STZ
Food & Beverage
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +29.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.015 2025-07-30 Tim Moore R-NC CNC
Insurance
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +40.3% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.015 2020-03-02 David Perdue R-GA BAC
Banking
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +24.2% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.020 2019-11-12 John W. Rose R-TN WFC
Banking
sell $100,001 – $250,000 +25.6% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 50 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.020 2019-04-01 Bill Flores R-TX WMB
Utilities
sell $50,001 – $100,000 +20.0% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 50 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.020 2025-06-26 Thomas H. Kean, Jr. R-NJ SYK
Medical Devices
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +19.8% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 50 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.020 2025-09-18 Shelley Moore Capito R-WV MSFT
Software & IT Services
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +10.7% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 50 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.020 2019-11-01 Debbie Dingell D-MI VLO
Oil & Gas
sell $15,001 – $50,000 +37.4% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 50 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.025 2025-07-29 Tim Moore R-NC CNC
Insurance
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +44.1% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 40 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.025 2025-07-18 Tim Moore R-NC CNC
Insurance
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +29.7% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 40 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.025 2025-08-08 Tim Moore R-NC UNH
Insurance
buy $15,001 – $50,000 +28.1% huddle_timing
This purchase was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 40 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
0.030 2019-12-10 Greg Gianforte R-MT XOM
Oil & Gas
sell $100,001+ +27.9% huddle_timing
This sale was flagged because a committee this member sits on was working on something in the same industry around the same time, and because only about 1 in 33 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.

A flag is a prompt to look, not a conclusion. Definitions: The Whistle and The Line. Method and every threshold: Methodology.